Back to DWCS 4.9
Main Women's Strawweight

Luana Pinheiro vs Stephanie Frausto

DWCS 4.9 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Luana Pinheiro
Stephanie Frausto
72% 28%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 2"
61"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Pinheiro: 10 sig / 0 TD · Frausto: 4 sig / 0 TD
Luana Pinheiro
Stephanie Frausto
42
Sig strikes landed
35
89
Sig strikes attempted
81
71
Total strikes landed
61
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
180s
Control time
147s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Luana Pinheiro

0-0
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Stephanie Frausto

"Lil Bovy"
0-0
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30