Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Danny Sabatello
Taylor Moore
65%
35%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
28
Age
Δ 0y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sabatello: 31 sig / 3 TD ·
Moore: 3 sig / 0 TD
Danny Sabatello
Taylor Moore
35
Sig strikes landed
35
75
Sig strikes attempted
73
53
Total strikes landed
51
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
153s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Danny Sabatello
"Italian Gangster"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
Taylor Moore
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27