Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Shaheen Santana
Natan Levy
56%
44%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
29
Age
Δ 0y
29
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Santana: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Levy: 18 sig / 2 TD
Shaheen Santana
Natan Levy
37
Sig strikes landed
35
77
Sig strikes attempted
72
52
Total strikes landed
54
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.6
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
165s
Control time
160s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Shaheen Santana
"Shazam"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
Natan Levy
"Lethal"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29