Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Luis Saldana
Vince Murdock
64%
36%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 9"
64"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Saldana: 77 sig / 0 TD ·
Murdock: 13 sig / 0 TD
Luis Saldana
Vince Murdock
40
Sig strikes landed
34
82
Sig strikes attempted
67
52
Total strikes landed
49
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
132s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Luis Saldana
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
Vince Murdock
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30