Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Edson Gomez
Ignacio Bahamondes
31%
69%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 6"
76"
30
Age
Δ 6y
23
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Gomez: 20 sig / 0 TD ·
Bahamondes: 66 sig / 0 TD
Edson Gomez
Ignacio Bahamondes
30
Sig strikes landed
43
60
Sig strikes attempted
85
44
Total strikes landed
58
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
102s
Control time
138s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Edson Gomez
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
Blue corner
Ignacio Bahamondes
"La Jaula"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23