Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Maurice Greene
Greg Hardy
55%
45%
Why
80"
Reach
80"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
10-7
Career record
Δ 3 pp
8-5
W1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Greene: 17 sig / 0 TD ·
Hardy: 46 sig / 1 TD
Maurice Greene
Greg Hardy
35
Sig strikes landed
34
67
Sig strikes attempted
66
45
Total strikes landed
43
0.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
0.0
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
56s
Control time
74s
Method
Decision
17%
KO/TKO
74%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Maurice Greene
"The Crochet Boss"
10-7
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
L
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
Blue corner
W1
Greg Hardy
"Prince of War"
8-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
—