Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Bryce Mitchell
Andre Fili
69%
31%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
26
Age
Δ 4y
30
19-4
Career record
Δ 16 pp
26-13
W4
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
15
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Mitchell: 46 sig / 7 TD ·
Fili: 27 sig / 0 TD
Bryce Mitchell
Andre Fili
37
Sig strikes landed
30
76
Sig strikes attempted
81
59
Total strikes landed
46
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.6
7.2
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
249s
Control time
92s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Bryce Mitchell
"Thug Nasty"
19-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—
Blue corner
W1
Andre Fili
"Touchy"
26-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
15 fights · 9-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
—
L
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
W
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—