Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Antonina Shevchenko vs Ariane da Silva
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Antonina Shevchenko
Ariane da Silva
39%
61%
Why
67"
Reach
67"
36
Age
Δ 9y
27
10-5
Career record
Δ 5 pp
18-11
L1
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Shevchenko: 39 sig / 1 TD ·
da Silva: 15 sig / 0 TD
Antonina Shevchenko
Ariane da Silva
39
Sig strikes landed
40
81
Sig strikes attempted
89
63
Total strikes landed
76
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
119s
Control time
220s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Antonina Shevchenko
"La Pantera"
10-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—
Blue corner
W2
Ariane da Silva
"Queen of Violence"
18-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
—