Prelims1
Featherweight
Giga Chikadze vs Omar Morales
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Giga Chikadze
Omar Morales
63%
37%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
32
Age
Δ 3y
35
16-6
Career record
Δ 2 pp
12-4
W3
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Chikadze: 65 sig / 0 TD ·
Morales: 34 sig / 0 TD
Giga Chikadze
Omar Morales
55
Sig strikes landed
45
131
Sig strikes attempted
132
67
Total strikes landed
59
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
0.9
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
48s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Giga Chikadze
"Ninja"
16-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
Blue corner
W2
Omar Morales
"Venezuelan Fighter"
12-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—