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Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Tracy Cortez vs Stephanie Egger

UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen ·Flash Forum
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Tracy Cortez
Stephanie Egger
75% 25%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
27
Age
Δ 5y
32
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cortez: 20 sig / 3 TD · Egger: 10 sig / 1 TD
Tracy Cortez
Stephanie Egger
46
Sig strikes landed
40
75
Sig strikes attempted
76
85
Total strikes landed
71
2.4
Takedowns landed
0.3
4.0
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
309s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Tracy Cortez

13-3
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
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Blue corner

Stephanie Egger

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32