Main
Middleweight
Markus Perez vs Dricus Du Plessis
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Markus Perez
Dricus Du Plessis
20%
80%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
32
Age
Δ 6y
27
L1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Perez: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Du Plessis: 26 sig / 0 TD
Markus Perez
Dricus Du Plessis
30
Sig strikes landed
41
63
Sig strikes attempted
79
44
Total strikes landed
65
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.6
4.0
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
122s
Control time
176s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Markus Perez
"Maluko"
12-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
W
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
Blue corner
Dricus Du Plessis
"Stillknocks"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
27