Main
Featherweight
Edson Barboza vs Makwan Amirkhani
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Edson Barboza
Makwan Amirkhani
58%
42%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
35
Age
Δ 3y
32
24-15
Career record
Δ 5 pp
18-9
L3
Current streak
W1
23
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barboza: 32 sig / 0 TD ·
Amirkhani: 11 sig / 3 TD
Edson Barboza
Makwan Amirkhani
34
Sig strikes landed
34
72
Sig strikes attempted
69
51
Total strikes landed
53
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.6
0.0
Takedowns attempted
5.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
47s
Control time
167s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
24-15
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
23 fights · 14-9
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
L
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—
Blue corner
W1
Makwan Amirkhani
"Mr. Finland"
18-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
L
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—