Main
Welterweight
Claudio Silva vs James Krause
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Claudio Silva
James Krause
31%
69%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
38
Age
Δ 4y
34
15-4
Career record
Δ 5 pp
28-10
W5
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Silva: 64 sig / 2 TD ·
Krause: 94 sig / 0 TD
Claudio Silva
James Krause
29
Sig strikes landed
52
67
Sig strikes attempted
93
49
Total strikes landed
63
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
6.8
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
186s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Claudio Silva
"Hannibal"
15-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
—
Blue corner
L1
James Krause
"The"
28-10
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
L
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—