Main
Light Heavyweight
Jimmy Crute vs Modestas Bukauskas
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jimmy Crute
Modestas Bukauskas
54%
46%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
25
Age
Δ 2y
27
15-4-2
Career record
Δ 4 pp
21-7
W1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Crute: 17 sig / 0 TD ·
Bukauskas: 7 sig / 0 TD
Jimmy Crute
Modestas Bukauskas
16
Sig strikes landed
20
41
Sig strikes attempted
54
24
Total strikes landed
28
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.3
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
117s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jimmy Crute
15-4-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
—
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
Blue corner
W1
Modestas Bukauskas
"The Baltic Gladiator"
21-7
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—