Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Gillian Robertson vs Poliana Botelho
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Gillian Robertson
Poliana Botelho
78%
22%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 4"
67"
25
Age
Δ 6y
32
18-8
Career record
Δ 5 pp
9-5
W1
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Robertson: 57 sig / 3 TD ·
Botelho: 22 sig / 0 TD
Gillian Robertson
Poliana Botelho
23
Sig strikes landed
23
43
Sig strikes attempted
49
52
Total strikes landed
44
2.7
Takedowns landed
0.0
5.4
Takedowns attempted
-0.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
343s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
41%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Gillian Robertson
"The Savage"
18-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
W
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
Blue corner
W1
Poliana Botelho
9-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
—