Prelims1
Middleweight
JunYong Park vs John Phillips
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
JunYong Park
John Phillips
68%
32%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
30
Age
Δ 6y
35
20-7
Career record
Δ 9 pp
22-12
W1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Park: 10 sig / 4 TD ·
Phillips: 5 sig / 0 TD
JunYong Park
John Phillips
39
Sig strikes landed
46
80
Sig strikes attempted
114
89
Total strikes landed
64
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
162s
Control time
84s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
JunYong Park
"The Iron Turtle"
20-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
Blue corner
L1
John Phillips
"The Welsh Wrecking Machine"
22-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
5 fights · 1-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
—