Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Gadzhimurad Antigulov vs Maxim Grishin
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
Maxim Grishin
36%
64%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 8"
78"
34
Age
Δ 3y
36
20-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
32-11-2
L3
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Antigulov: 12 sig / 1 TD ·
Grishin: 34 sig / 1 TD
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
Maxim Grishin
15
Sig strikes landed
17
26
Sig strikes attempted
27
32
Total strikes landed
34
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.5
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
176s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
20-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
W
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
—
Blue corner
L1
Maxim Grishin
"Maximus"
32-11-2
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—