Prelims1
Bantamweight
Said Nurmagomedov vs Mark Striegl
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Said Nurmagomedov
Mark Striegl
60%
40%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
28
Age
Δ 4y
32
L1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Nurmagomedov: 18 sig / 0 TD ·
Striegl: 3 sig / 0 TD
Said Nurmagomedov
Mark Striegl
47
Sig strikes landed
39
102
Sig strikes attempted
93
62
Total strikes landed
49
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
100s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Said Nurmagomedov
18-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
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W
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
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W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
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Blue corner
Mark Striegl
"Mugen"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32