Back to UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
Prelims1 Lightweight

Jamie Mullarkey vs Fares Ziam

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie ·Flash Forum
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Jamie Mullarkey
Fares Ziam
43% 57%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
26
Age
Δ 3y
24
18-10
Career record
Δ 14 pp
18-5
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Mullarkey: 20 sig / 5 TD · Ziam: 47 sig / 1 TD
Jamie Mullarkey
Fares Ziam
33
Sig strikes landed
31
80
Sig strikes attempted
76
56
Total strikes landed
60
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.4
3.5
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
187s
Control time
173s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jamie Mullarkey

18-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
—
Blue corner
L1

Fares Ziam

"The Smile Killer"
18-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—