Main
Women's Flyweight
Katlyn Cerminara vs Jessica Andrade
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Katlyn Cerminara
Jessica Andrade
53%
47%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 6"
62"
32
Age
Δ 3y
29
19-6
Career record
Δ 14 pp
26-16
W1
Current streak
L2
10
UFC fights in our DB
17
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Cerminara: 19 sig / 0 TD ·
Andrade: 28 sig / 2 TD
Katlyn Cerminara
Jessica Andrade
66
Sig strikes landed
72
165
Sig strikes attempted
136
84
Total strikes landed
99
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.8
2.1
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
89s
Control time
200s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Katlyn Cerminara
"Blonde Fighter"
19-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
L
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
W
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
L
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
Blue corner
L2
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
26-16
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
17 fights · 11-6
Last 5
L
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
W
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—