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Muhammad Naimov vs Collin Anglin

DWCS 4.7 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Muhammad Naimov
Collin Anglin
69% 31%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
26
Age
Δ 2y
28

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Naimov: 52 sig / 0 TD · Anglin: 88 sig / 3 TD
Muhammad Naimov
Collin Anglin
38
Sig strikes landed
33
78
Sig strikes attempted
75
55
Total strikes landed
44
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
169s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Muhammad Naimov

"Hillman"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner

Collin Anglin

0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28