Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Korey Kuppe
Michael Lombardo
44%
56%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 5"
72"
32
Age
Δ 1y
30
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kuppe: 11 sig / 0 TD ·
Lombardo: 20 sig / 4 TD
Korey Kuppe
Michael Lombardo
33
Sig strikes landed
32
58
Sig strikes attempted
54
47
Total strikes landed
41
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
121s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Korey Kuppe
0-0
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
77"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
Blue corner
L1
Michael Lombardo
"The Don"
11-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DWCS 3.2
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