Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Gregory Rodrigues
Jordan Williams
80%
20%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Rodrigues: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Williams: 18 sig / 0 TD
Gregory Rodrigues
Jordan Williams
76
Sig strikes landed
27
157
Sig strikes attempted
78
88
Total strikes landed
61
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.4
4.1
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
139s
Control time
71s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Gregory Rodrigues
"Robocop"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
L1
Jordan Williams
"Bomaye"
9-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 0-1
Last 1
L
DWCS 3.5
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