Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Tyson Nam
Jerome Rivera
44%
56%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
37
Age
Δ 12y
25
W1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Nam: 36 sig / 0 TD ·
Rivera: 30 sig / 0 TD
Tyson Nam
Jerome Rivera
33
Sig strikes landed
48
73
Sig strikes attempted
94
47
Total strikes landed
49
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
123s
Control time
69s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Tyson Nam
22-14-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
Blue corner
Jerome Rivera
"Renegade"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25