Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Roosevelt Roberts
Kevin Croom
66%
34%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
27
Age
Δ 7y
33
L1
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Overturned · Round 1
Roberts: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Croom: 5 sig / 0 TD
Roosevelt Roberts
Kevin Croom
32
Sig strikes landed
31
70
Sig strikes attempted
59
46
Total strikes landed
48
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.8
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
147s
Control time
125s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Roosevelt Roberts
"The Predator"
12-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
Blue corner
Kevin Croom
"Crash"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33