Main
Women's Strawweight
Michelle Waterson-Gomez vs Angela Hill
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Angela Hill
63%
37%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
35
Age
Δ 1y
36
18-14
Career record
Δ 3 pp
19-17
L2
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
15
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 5
Waterson-Gomez: 128 sig / 1 TD ·
Hill: 131 sig / 0 TD
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Angela Hill
80
Sig strikes landed
71
192
Sig strikes attempted
152
97
Total strikes landed
98
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.5
5.0
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
182s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
"The Karate Hottie"
18-14
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
L1
Angela Hill
"Overkill"
19-17
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
15 fights · 7-8
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—