Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Luigi Vendramini
Jessin Ayari
51%
49%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
25
Age
Δ 4y
28
9-4
Career record
Δ 0 pp
16-7
L1
Current streak
L2
1
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Vendramini: 13 sig / 0 TD ·
Ayari: 2 sig / 0 TD
Luigi Vendramini
Jessin Ayari
32
Sig strikes landed
41
88
Sig strikes attempted
97
63
Total strikes landed
59
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.5
7.0
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
198s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Luigi Vendramini
"The Italian Stallion"
9-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
Blue corner
L2
Jessin Ayari
16-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
—