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Prelims1 Middleweight

Jordan Williams vs Nassourdine Imavov

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana ·Flash Forum
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jordan Williams
Nassourdine Imavov
26% 74%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
75"
30
Age
Δ 5y
25

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Williams: 30 sig / 0 TD · Imavov: 68 sig / 1 TD
Jordan Williams
Nassourdine Imavov
32
Sig strikes landed
41
68
Sig strikes attempted
80
44
Total strikes landed
58
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
90s
Control time
158s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Jordan Williams

"Bomaye"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
Blue corner

Nassourdine Imavov

"The Sniper"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25