Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Dequan Townsend
Dusko Todorovic
53%
47%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 5"
74"
34
Age
Δ 8y
26
L3
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Townsend: 13 sig / 0 TD ·
Todorovic: 85 sig / 1 TD
Dequan Townsend
Dusko Todorovic
31
Sig strikes landed
37
65
Sig strikes attempted
68
42
Total strikes landed
50
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
90s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Dequan Townsend
"The Tarantula"
21-13
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 0-3
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
Blue corner
Dusko Todorovic
"Thunder"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26