Main
Women's Bantamweight
Germaine de Randamie vs Julianna Pena
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Germaine de Randamie
Julianna Pena
42%
58%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
36
Age
Δ 5y
31
10-6
Career record
Δ 7 pp
14-6
L1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
de Randamie: 37 sig / 0 TD ·
Pena: 27 sig / 3 TD
Germaine de Randamie
Julianna Pena
29
Sig strikes landed
32
66
Sig strikes attempted
64
55
Total strikes landed
64
0.1
Takedowns landed
2.8
0.3
Takedowns attempted
5.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
67s
Control time
285s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Germaine de Randamie
"The Iron Lady"
10-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
L
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
W
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—
W
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—
Blue corner
W1
Julianna Pena
"The Venezuelan Vixen"
14-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
W
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
W
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—