Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
William Knight
Aleksa Camur
53%
47%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
32
Age
Δ 8y
25
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Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Knight: 38 sig / 4 TD ·
Camur: 17 sig / 1 TD
William Knight
Aleksa Camur
45
Sig strikes landed
48
94
Sig strikes attempted
91
71
Total strikes landed
54
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.6
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
145s
Control time
42s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
5%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
William Knight
"Knightmare"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
Blue corner
W1
Aleksa Camur
7-3
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
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