Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Da Woon Jung
Sam Alvey
61%
39%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
27
Age
Δ 8y
34
16-6-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
33-19-1
W2
Current streak
L4
2
UFC fights in our DB
19
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Jung: 56 sig / 0 TD ·
Alvey: 59 sig / 0 TD
Da Woon Jung
Sam Alvey
49
Sig strikes landed
37
101
Sig strikes attempted
77
55
Total strikes landed
34
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.2
0.7
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
43s
Control time
35s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Da Woon Jung
"Sseda"
16-6-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
Blue corner
L4
Sam Alvey
"Smile'N"
33-19-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
19 fights · 10-9
Last 5
L
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—