Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Robert Whittaker
Darren Till
69%
31%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
27-10
Career record
Δ 3 pp
19-5-1
L1
Current streak
W1
14
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Whittaker: 69 sig / 2 TD ·
Till: 41 sig / 0 TD
Robert Whittaker
Darren Till
56
Sig strikes landed
44
137
Sig strikes attempted
120
66
Total strikes landed
51
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
67s
Control time
35s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
27-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
14 fights · 11-3
Last 5
L
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
W
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Darren Till
"The Gorilla"
19-5-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
9 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
L
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—