🏆 Title fight
Main
Flyweight
Deiveson Figueiredo vs Joseph Benavidez
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2
·Flash Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Deiveson Figueiredo
Joseph Benavidez
65%
35%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
65"
33
Age
Δ 3y
36
26-7-1
Career record
Δ 1 pp
28-9
W3
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
19
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Figueiredo: 35 sig / 0 TD ·
Benavidez: 18 sig / 0 TD
Deiveson Figueiredo
Joseph Benavidez
51
Sig strikes landed
44
113
Sig strikes attempted
104
56
Total strikes landed
55
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.80
Knockdowns
0.20
97s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Deiveson Figueiredo
"Deus da Guerra"
26-7-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
8 fights · 7-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
Blue corner
L1
Joseph Benavidez
28-9
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
19 fights · 15-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—
L
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—