Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Calvin Kattar
Dan Ige
64%
36%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
32
Age
Δ 3y
29
24-10
Career record
Δ 6 pp
20-11
W1
Current streak
W6
7
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Kattar: 105 sig / 1 TD ·
Ige: 84 sig / 0 TD
Calvin Kattar
Dan Ige
55
Sig strikes landed
58
135
Sig strikes attempted
137
68
Total strikes landed
65
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.4
0.9
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
45s
Control time
115s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Calvin Kattar
24-10
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—
L
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
—
Blue corner
W6
Dan Ige
"100K"
20-11
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—