Back to UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Prelims1 Featherweight

Chris Gutierrez vs Vince Morales

UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Chris Gutierrez
Vince Morales
77% 23%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
29
Age
Δ 0y
30
23-7-2
Career record
Δ 15 pp
16-12
W2
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Gutierrez: 60 sig / 0 TD · Morales: 8 sig / 0 TD
Chris Gutierrez
Vince Morales
66
Sig strikes landed
50
140
Sig strikes attempted
143
79
Total strikes landed
66
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.3
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
85s
Control time
51s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
6%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Chris Gutierrez

"El Guapo"
23-7-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
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L The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
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Blue corner
L1

Vince Morales

"Vandetta"
16-12
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. C…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
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