Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Tyron Woodley
Gilbert Burns
53%
47%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 3"
71"
38
Age
Δ 4y
34
19-8-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
23-10
L1
Current streak
W5
13
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Woodley: 28 sig / 0 TD ·
Burns: 83 sig / 2 TD
Tyron Woodley
Gilbert Burns
42
Sig strikes landed
42
86
Sig strikes attempted
89
47
Total strikes landed
56
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
91s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Tyron Woodley
"The Chosen One"
19-8-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
13 fights · 9-3
Last 5
L
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
W
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
W
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
D
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
Blue corner
W5
Gilbert Burns
"Durinho"
23-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
14 fights · 11-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
W
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—