Main
Light Heavyweight
Anthony Smith vs Glover Teixeira
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira
·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Anthony Smith
Glover Teixeira
51%
49%
Why
76"
Reach
76"
32
Age
Δ 9y
40
39-22
Career record
Δ 15 pp
34-9
W1
Current streak
W3
12
UFC fights in our DB
18
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 5
Smith: 86 sig / 1 TD ·
Teixeira: 138 sig / 1 TD
Anthony Smith
Glover Teixeira
54
Sig strikes landed
42
109
Sig strikes attempted
78
63
Total strikes landed
62
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.0
0.6
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
57s
Control time
148s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Anthony Smith
"Lionheart"
39-22
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
L
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
W
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
Blue corner
W3
Glover Teixeira
34-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
41
In our database
18 fights · 13-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—