Back to UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Kay Hansen vs Jinh Yu Frey

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker ·Meta Apex
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Kay Hansen
Jinh Yu Frey
75% 25%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 2"
65"
21
Age
Δ 14y
35

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Hansen: 31 sig / 2 TD · Frey: 26 sig / 0 TD
Kay Hansen
Jinh Yu Frey
38
Sig strikes landed
42
70
Sig strikes attempted
78
61
Total strikes landed
67
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.4
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
135s
Control time
173s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
37%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Kay Hansen

0-0
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
21
Blue corner

Jinh Yu Frey

0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35