🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Featherweight
Amanda Nunes vs Felicia Spencer
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Amanda Nunes
Felicia Spencer
82%
18%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
24-5
Career record
Δ 6 pp
10-3
W8
Current streak
W1
13
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Nunes: 124 sig / 6 TD ·
Spencer: 42 sig / 0 TD
Amanda Nunes
Felicia Spencer
87
Sig strikes landed
43
128
Sig strikes attempted
79
101
Total strikes landed
61
2.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.7
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
278s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W8
Amanda Nunes
"The Lioness"
24-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
13 fights · 12-1
Last 5
W
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
W
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
W
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
W
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Felicia Spencer
"FeeNom"
10-3
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
—
L
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—