Back to UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
🏆 Title fight Main Heavyweight

Stipe Miocic vs Daniel Cormier

UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Stipe Miocic
Daniel Cormier
59% 41%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 8"
72"
38
Age
Δ 3y
41
21-5
Career record
Δ 4 pp
22-4
W1
Current streak
L1
16
UFC fights in our DB
14

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Miocic: 115 sig / 0 TD · Cormier: 105 sig / 1 TD
Stipe Miocic
Daniel Cormier
76
Sig strikes landed
74
126
Sig strikes attempted
129
108
Total strikes landed
109
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.6
3.7
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
119s
Control time
187s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Stipe Miocic

21-5
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 16 fights · 13-3
Last 5
W UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
L UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
W UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
W UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
W UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
Blue corner
L1

Daniel Cormier

"DC"
22-4 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
41
In our database 14 fights · 11-2
Last 5
L UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
W UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
—
W UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
W UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
W UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—