Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Neil Magny
Li Jingliang
72%
28%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 8"
72"
33
Age
Δ 1y
32
31-16
Career record
Δ 3 pp
20-9
L1
Current streak
W3
20
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Magny: 74 sig / 4 TD ·
Jingliang: 16 sig / 2 TD
Neil Magny
Li Jingliang
69
Sig strikes landed
71
152
Sig strikes attempted
147
88
Total strikes landed
78
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.9
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.60
125s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31-16
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
20 fights · 14-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—
W
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
L
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
W
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
Blue corner
W3
Li Jingliang
"The Leech"
20-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
12 fights · 9-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
L
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—