🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Strawweight
Zhang Weili vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Zhang Weili
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
82%
18%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
31
Age
Δ 2y
33
27-4
Career record
Δ 10 pp
17-5
W4
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 5
Weili: 165 sig / 1 TD ·
Jedrzejczyk: 186 sig / 0 TD
Zhang Weili
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
105
Sig strikes landed
130
240
Sig strikes attempted
236
125
Total strikes landed
154
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
5.7
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
173s
Control time
75s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Zhang Weili
"Magnum"
27-4
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
W
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
W
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
Blue corner
W1
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
17-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
13 fights · 10-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
L
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
L
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
—
L
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—