Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Sabina Mazo
JJ Aldrich
60%
40%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
23
Age
Δ 4y
27
10-4
Career record
Δ 2 pp
16-7
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Mazo: 118 sig / 0 TD ·
Aldrich: 58 sig / 0 TD
Sabina Mazo
JJ Aldrich
71
Sig strikes landed
56
156
Sig strikes attempted
124
79
Total strikes landed
77
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.0
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
106s
Control time
177s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Sabina Mazo
"Colombian Queen"
10-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
W1
JJ Aldrich
16-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
W
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—