Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Roxanne Modafferi vs Maycee Barber
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Roxanne Modafferi
Maycee Barber
17%
83%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 4"
65"
37
Age
Δ 16y
22
25-22
Career record
Δ 31 pp
16-3
L1
Current streak
W3
6
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Modafferi: 19 sig / 1 TD ·
Barber: 16 sig / 0 TD
Roxanne Modafferi
Maycee Barber
55
Sig strikes landed
85
147
Sig strikes attempted
180
91
Total strikes landed
104
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.9
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
329s
Control time
122s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Roxanne Modafferi
"The Happy Warrior"
25-22
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—
L
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—
Blue corner
W3
Maycee Barber
"The Future"
16-3
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Switch
Age
22
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—