Prelims1
Welterweight
Sean Brady vs Ismail Naurdiev
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo
·Chartway Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Sean Brady
Ismail Naurdiev
56%
44%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
27
Age
Δ 4y
24
20-2
Career record
Δ 14 pp
26-8
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Brady: 47 sig / 4 TD ·
Naurdiev: 37 sig / 0 TD
Sean Brady
Ismail Naurdiev
117
Sig strikes landed
47
184
Sig strikes attempted
126
128
Total strikes landed
70
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.5
Takedowns attempted
5.2
0.70
Knockdowns
0.20
75s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
81%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Sean Brady
20-2
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
Blue corner
W1
Ismail Naurdiev
26-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
L
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—