Back to UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo
Main Women's Featherweight

Felicia Spencer vs Zarah Fairn

UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo ·Chartway Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Felicia Spencer
Zarah Fairn
82% 18%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
29
Age
Δ 7y
36
9-4
Career record
Δ 23 pp
6-7
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Spencer: 40 sig / 1 TD · Fairn: 13 sig / 0 TD
Felicia Spencer
Zarah Fairn
38
Sig strikes landed
28
63
Sig strikes attempted
52
77
Total strikes landed
48
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
235s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
34%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Felicia Spencer

"FeeNom"
9-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
W UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1

Zarah Fairn

"Infinite"
6-7
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
—