Prelims1
Lightweight
Alexander Yakovlev vs Roosevelt Roberts
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar
·CSKA Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Alexander Yakovlev
Roosevelt Roberts
58%
42%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
35
Age
Δ 10y
26
25-10-1
Career record
Δ 6 pp
12-7
W1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Yakovlev: 20 sig / 3 TD ·
Roberts: 28 sig / 0 TD
Alexander Yakovlev
Roosevelt Roberts
24
Sig strikes landed
24
52
Sig strikes attempted
49
39
Total strikes landed
42
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.8
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
122s
Control time
193s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Alexander Yakovlev
"Russian Thunder"
25-10-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—
Blue corner
L1
Roosevelt Roberts
"The Predator"
12-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—