Main
Featherweight
Zabit Magomedsharipov vs Calvin Kattar
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar
·CSKA Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Zabit Magomedsharipov
Calvin Kattar
75%
25%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
29
Age
Δ 3y
32
19-1
Career record
Δ 24 pp
24-10
W5
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Magomedsharipov: 96 sig / 1 TD ·
Kattar: 80 sig / 0 TD
Zabit Magomedsharipov
Calvin Kattar
64
Sig strikes landed
48
141
Sig strikes attempted
120
86
Total strikes landed
60
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.0
5.0
Takedowns attempted
0.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
202s
Control time
3s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Zabit Magomedsharipov
19-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
W
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
Blue corner
W2
Calvin Kattar
24-10
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—
L
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
—
W
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
W
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—