Main
Bantamweight
Rob Font vs Ricky Simon
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik
·Capital One Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Rob Font
Ricky Simon
45%
55%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
32
Age
Δ 5y
27
23-10
Career record
Δ 1 pp
22-8-1
W1
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Font: 90 sig / 1 TD ·
Simon: 59 sig / 6 TD
Rob Font
Ricky Simon
43
Sig strikes landed
39
108
Sig strikes attempted
98
56
Total strikes landed
52
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.2
Takedowns attempted
5.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
29s
Control time
151s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Rob Font
23-10
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
L
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
W
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
W
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
Blue corner
L1
Ricky Simon
22-8-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
W
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—